Oryx Tank Losses - The Ukrainian army can create three new heavy troops with these tanks and armored vehicles it receives.
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Oryx Tank Losses
TOPSHOT - Ukrainian tanks move on the road before an attack in Lugansk region on February 26, 2022. ... [+] (Photo by ANATOLII STEPANOV/AFP via Getty Images)
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Russia says that more than 50 percent of Ukraine's military equipment of various types, including tanks and artillery, was destroyed. If these figures are correct, then the Ukrainian army should cease to exist as an active army. However, the fact that Ukrainian forces continue to crush this conflict is proof that Russia mistakenly - or deliberately - underestimated the damage caused by Russian forces.
On April 2, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that since the "special military operation" began on March 24, the Russian military has destroyed 125 aircraft, 88 helicopters, 381 unmanned aerial vehicles, 1,888 tanks and other military vehicles, 205. several rocket systems, 793 guns and ammunition, and 1,771 "special military vehicles" (probably trucks and other vehicles).
Reading the list of pre-war Ukrainian weapons can be tricky, depending on how different items are classified. But Ukraine had more than 3,300 military vehicles before the war, according to officials.
Published by the International Institute for Strategic Studies. This includes 858 tanks, 547 armored vehicles, 1,184 armored vehicles, 622 armored vehicles, 30 airborne combat vehicles, and 50 armored vehicles.
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If Russia destroyed 1,888 of them, that would be a loss figure of 57 percent. The main rule is that a loss of 30 percent makes the unit ineffective, not only because of the loss of equipment. work and employees, but also emotional impact. An army that has lost two-thirds of its tanks and other heavy weapons will be taken until it finds rest and other supplies.
Security research site Oryx, which uses open intelligence - mainly photos posted on social media - to find devices that have been damaged in both directions, has counted 680 cars lost in Ukraine since the fourth day of April. This includes 93 tanks, 76 armored vehicles, 64 armored vehicles. Combat vehicles such as anti-tank missile platforms, and 31 troop carriers, as well as about 60 engineering vehicles and equipment such as HMMWVs that may not take vehicles.
This shows that Ukraine has lost about 5 to 10 percent of the vehicles used in the war, rather than the 50 percent that Russia claimed.
Russia also claims to have destroyed 205 of Ukraine's 354 ballistic missiles by 2021. Again, that's a 57 percent loss, or nearly two percent of the missiles. Three Ukrainian rockets. In addition, Russia claimed to have destroyed 793 missiles and heavy weapons. However, the IISS lists Ukraine as having 1,462 missiles by 2021, including 607 self-propelled launchers (plus up to 83 more on moths), 515 launchers and 340 120-millimeter missiles. This is a loss of 54 percent, which will match the rest of the Russian population.
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Russia claims that 125 Ukrainian aircraft and 88 helicopters were destroyed. However, FlightGlobal's World Air Force 2022 record lists the Ukrainian military as 98 fighters (plus 61 training jets), about 30 flights and less and how many reconnaissance and naval patrol aircraft, as well. such as 112 attack helicopters. If Moscow's calculations are correct, then Ukraine has lost about 60 percent of its aircraft and two-thirds of its helicopters. Although the Ukrainian military still competes for space, Ukrainian helicopters have recently bombarded oil installations in Russia.
A man rides his bicycle past a wrecked Russian ship on March 30, 2022 in Trostyanets, Ukraine. (Photo ... [+] by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
In terms of Russian losses, the Russian army lost 2,453 military vehicles (including 425 tanks), 186 artillery pieces, 20 aircraft and 38 helicopters, according to Oryx. However, Oryx admits that since his research is only photographic evidence of losses in Russia and Ukraine, "the number of damaged goods is higher than reported here."
Of course, any number of deaths - especially in the middle of war - should be treated with care. Some of this is due to government propaganda, and Ukraine has been very good at publicizing its issues. Some of this is due to social media, which is often irrelevant.
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But in all history, the biggest problem is the proverb of war. Was the enemy ship really damaged, or damaged enough to be towed and repaired? Did our air force shoot down three enemy planes, or was it only one captured by three pilots?
For example, during the Battle of Britain in 1940, the Germans were amazed at how the Royal Air Force continued to repel German attacks every day, even though the Luftwaffe was shooting down many planes. But it turns out that the Luftwaffe wanted three times the number of British troops actually destroyed. Then there is the infamous US "number." during the Vietnam War, which increased the number of Communist casualties, and helped explain the cause of the US occupation. they continue to believe that there is "light at the end of the tunnel."
The main question is whether the Kremlin itself believes that the Russian death toll is true. If they do - and Russia's offensive is ambitious and overconfident - then Russian President Vladmir Putin may believe that Ukraine's military power is over, and that victory is near if only Russia can stay on the road.
Poland's MiG-29 fighters may not help Ukraine What to do when China and Russia Jam GPS? Use the Earth's Magnetic Field The loss of Russian tanks in Ukraine has exceeded 1,000, according to the Oryx intelligence blog that follows the loss of equipment in the war, showing the desperation of the Russian army in more than six months of war.
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More than half of Russian tank losses reported by Oryx, which tracks damaged, captured or abandoned tanks using open source data, occurred in the first 50 days of the war as Russian forces tried to capture the Ukrainian capital .
"The death rate changes during the conflict," said Jakub Janovsky, who contributes to Oryx data, which is based on primary data.
He said: "In the first month Russia lost a lot of tanks and other vehicles because the Russians spread over a large part of Ukraine.
In particular, Ukrainian forces used Western-supplied anti-aircraft missiles to destroy Russian advance columns, including several tanks, in the northern part of Kyiv.
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Of the 1,012 Russian tank losses reported by Oryx in Saturday's update, 34 percent were abandoned by crews, a high number that military expert Rob Lee said was poorly planned and equipped. in Tuesday's news.
"Most of the losses of tanks happen because the tanks are damaged or have some kind of malfunction and are eventually destroyed because they can't be found," Janovsky said.
The total number of visible Russian tank losses during their 2022 invasion of Ukraine has reached 1000! What a terrible failure from a self-proclaimed military force. full list: https://t.co/fmhlTM3zHA — Jakub Janovsky (@Rebel44CZ) September 3, 2022
As the war in Ukraine turned into a war of attrition in the east and south of the country, Moscow began withdrawing old tanks from storage.
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The International Institute for Strategic Studies in the UK estimated before the invasion that Russia had 2,800 tanks in operation and another 10,000 in storage.
"At the beginning of the war, new Russian tanks, such as the 2016 version of the T-72B3 and T-80BVM, dominated our inventory," Janovsky said.
But as Russia replaced these wastes with older tanks, such as the T-72B, it is now one of the largest tanks on the list.
While Oryx is reviewing video footage and photos to ensure they are accurately recording losses, the team believes their plans may be off.
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"We have some data from earlier in the war ... which showed that the actual Russian losses were 30% higher than what we had on our list," Janovsky said.
Civilian scouts can also miss abandoned or damaged tanks as the war progresses, and early battles are well documented.
Ukraine's military said on Tuesday it had destroyed 2,077 Russian tanks since the offensive began in February.
"Both sides seem to be more cautious about using their tanks than at the beginning of the war," Janovsky said.
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